Independent Citizens Action Network

 


 

 

LPS Student Achievement Index

[Under Construction]

LPS District Achievement Goal (announced [PDF 42KB] on 9/14/06):

  •  "90% of all students will be on or above grade level in reading, math, writing, and science by 2011.  The achievement gap in student performance will be cut in half by 2009."

  •  "Key Activities: ... Determine at or above grade level criteria for K–10...." [Oct/06 - May/07 per 12/19/06 LPS Policy Work Plan 2006-2009]

  •  "Measurement Used to Determine Success: An analysis of student achievement indicators to include CSAP, MAP, grades, and performance on benchmark and classroom-based assessments will be completed annually to determine progress from baseline data; individual achievement scorecard will be monitored for each student to assess grade level status." [12/19/06 LPS Policy Work Plan 2006-2009]

  •  Revised ("clarified" on 9/27/07): "Ninety percent of all students will be on or above grade level in reading, math, writing, and science by the end of the 2011-2012 school year.  The achievement gap in student performance will be cut in half by the end of the 2009-2010 school year."

  •  ICAN believes that there will be little or no reduction in the percentages of below-grade-level students until most of the LPS Board of Education members and the superintendent publicly declare their willingness to be held accountable for such specific, measurable objectives and then insist that lower-level officials do the same.  Otherwise, institutional inertia will maintain the status quo and continue to prevent significant increase in student academic achievement.

  •  Unfortunately, neither the Board of Education minutes of Board meetings nor the district website provide evidence that Board of Education members and the superintendent publicly declare their willingness to be held accountable for the District Achievement Goal results.

  •  Another significant public indication of lack of ownership for results is that very few schools even mention the District Achievement Goal on their school websites.

Relevant statements in LPS Strategic Plan (approved [PDF 19KB] on 9/28/06):

  •  Vision Statement: "... Extraordinary learning ..."

  •  Focus Areas: "1. Enhance instructional systems that maximize student achievement and integrate knowledge and skills relevant to a global 21st century...."

  •  Core Beliefs: "... 7. Meaningful evaluation of student learning occurs through timely and ongoing analysis of student performance on a variety of assessments...."

"The Accountability Journey, continued" (presented [PDF 119KB] on 9/27/07):

  •  Grade Level Definition (first presented [PDF 44KB] on 5/17/07): "A student is on grade level if he/she is meeting the expectations for his/her age group peers on the defined essential learning objectives as measured by:

1. Performance on state tests (CSAP),

2. Performance on district determined measures (MAP, CBLA, 2nd Grade Writing),

3. Classroom performance"

  •  Baseline Index for 2007 (presented [PDF 45KB] on 9/27/07):

    • District total baseline data is 78.5%*  "*This is within our expected 10% CSAP confidence band.  (70.7 CSAP average - - 7.8%>10%)"  [Actually, 7.8% < 10%]

    • Gap (goal - baseline) is 11.5% (90% - 78.5%).

    • CSAP portion of baseline is 70.7%.

  •  Conclusions... (presented [PDF 45KB] on 9/27/07):

    • "Actual results fall within the range of expected results"

    • "Mathematical integrity of the formula is likely to be good"

    • "If there were significant errors, likely, the result would fall outside the yellow bands"

  •  From "Good to Great" (presented [PDF 85KB] on 9/27/07): "When you start with an honest and diligent effort to determine the truth of the situation, the right decisions often become self-evident...  You absolutely cannot make a series of good decisions without first confronting the brutal facts."  Jim Collins, 2001, p. 70

Preliminary analysis of baseline data for 2007:

  •  Citizen activist Sam Drury presented a three-page handout [PDF 307KB] to the LPS Board of Education on November 8, 2007:

    • The first page [PDF 206KB] is an 11-point scatterplot of Grade Level Proficiency percentages for grades K-10 in terms of all grade level assessments versus without report card assessments.  A no-change line is included for reference.

    • The second page [PDF 104KB] includes the first-page scatterplot, tabulated proficiency percentage data for the 11 points, and the correlation coefficient.

    • The third page [PDF 9KB] includes tabulated proficiency percentage data for three assessment categories: all grade level assessments, without report card assessments, and only report card assessments.  Summaries of each of those three assessment categories are provided for grade-level groups K-2, 3-5, K-5, 6-8, 9-10, 6-10, and K-10.

  •  First-page comments:

    • The inclusion of report card "assessments" increased the baseline index for every one of the 11 grades (K-10) compared to all grade level assessments without report card assessments.

    • If the report card "assessments" for each grade had the same average as that of the rest of the assessments, then each of the 11 points would be located on the no-change line.

    • The large deviations from the no-change line indicate that the "grade inflation" effect from report cards data is quite different from the rest of the data for each grade level.

  •  Second-page comments:

    • The tabulation provides numerical precision for comparison of the proficiency percentage data for all grade level assessments versus without report card assessments (the former average is about 6% higher).

    • The correlation coefficient is +0.975 (very high).

    • The first-page comments also are applicable to the second-page comments.

  •  Third-page comments:

    • If the report card "assessments" were the only data source for the baseline index proficiency percentage, then the K-10 district average (91.44%) would already exceed the District Achievement Goal (90%) in total and for each of the K-6 grade levels.

    • The K-10 district average for report card "assessments" (91.44%) is much higher (18.18%) than the average for the rest of the assessments (73.26%).

    • That "grade inflation" factor of about 18% exists in both elementary (K-5) and secondary (6-10) groups.

Further analysis of baseline data for 2007:

  •  Citizen activist Sam Drury presented a 10-page handout [PDF 933KB] to the LPS Board of Education on June 26, 2008:

    • The three-page letter [PDF 32KB] critiques some aspects of the LPS "on or above grade level" approach.  The letter includes excerpts from the LPS Annual Report 2006-2007, LPS Student Achievement Index (SAI) analyses, and influence of report card "grade inflation" rather than proficiency based upon "essential learnings" performance.

    • The four-page attachment [PDF 602KB], which was first presented to the Board on October 11, 2007, includes Sam's questions, SAI "index - CSAP" subtotals estimates, SAI "Grade Level Determination" data (ingredients), and SAI relative weights (recipes) for "Grade Level Details" data.

    • The three-page attachment [PDF 307KB], which was first presented to the Board on November 8, 2007 and then provided again on June 12, 2008, includes tabulated proficiency percentage data for three assessment categories: all grade level assessments, without report card assessments, and only report card assessments.  Summaries of each of those three assessment categories are provided for grade-level groups K-2, 3-5, K-5, 6-8, 9-10, 6-10, and K-10.

  •  Three-page letter comments:

    • LPS officials have established the Student Achievement Index as an overall expression of results from assessments of individual students.

    • Sam still has two unanswered questions that he asked at the October 11 Board meeting.

  •  Four-page attachment comments:

    • The LPS documents demonstrate the comparative effects of each measure of performance used for the SAI calculations.

    • The relationships between CSAP subtotals and the rest-of-the-index subtotals were estimated.

    • Those "index - CSAP" subtotals estimates were about 10% more than CSAP for Reading & Writing (Grades 3-10), 15% more for Mathematics (Grades 3-10), and 15% more for Science (Grades 5, 8, and 10).

  •  Three-page attachment comments: Refer to "Preliminary analysis of baseline data for 2007" section above.
  •  Conclusion: The current Student Achievement Index (SAI) is not a valid measure of LPS student academic achievement progress:
    • We believe that transparency and prompt reporting of detailed objective results are essential for credible public visibility and accountability.

    • The current "classroom performance" portion (about one-third of total SAI score) is very biased by "grade inflation" rather than "essential learnings" performance.

    • That "grade inflation" factor of about 18% falsely increases the otherwise-valid SAI scores by about 6% for 2007.

    • If and when there is significant reduction in the "grade inflation" effects, the SAI scores will decrease at the same time that actual proficiency is increasing, thereby misleading SAI users who measure LPS student academic achievement progress (and vice versa for significant increase in the "grade inflation" effects).

    • Therefore, we recommend eliminating use of the current SAI (with "grade inflation" effects) as a valid measure of LPS student academic achievement progress.

    • Of course, comparison of the "classroom performance" portion with the remaining portion of the SAI scores illuminates the "grade inflation" effects and could help to place more emphasis upon "essential learnings" performance.

 

Last modified: 06/30/2008

 

Send mail to webmaster@ICAN4.info with your questions or comments about this website.
Copyright © 2003-2008 Independent Citizens Action Network (ICAN).   All Rights Reserved.